Two powerful themes have driven markets in 2026. The first is the geopolitical uncertainty triggered by President Donald Trump’s sharp shift in US foreign policy. The second is the AI-driven sell-off, with markets shifting from favouring AI leaders to focusing on companies whose business models are most threatened by the rapidly developing technology. These trends have reversed the market’s strong start to the year, as investor attention turns to supply chain vulnerabilities and the potential growing risk of stagflation, when high inflation, weak growth and rising unemployment occur simultaneously.
